2:51 i hope lance trimmed down

He has a great cardio base but he is not training with running as intensly as he had trained for cycling. His joints are also not used to the impact of running either.

I would like to see him do well but I think the last 10 miles are going to hurt him. I think he might have a great 1st 1/2 marathon and slow down for the second 1/2.

just my $.02:D

This marathon is just a minor distraction for Lance until he takes on Ironman!

In the RW interview, he is told that one of his cycling rivals ran around a 2:55. Therefore, my guess is 2:54:58.

I'm going with anything under 2:55 so he beats jalabert's time last year.

He said himself that he has not taken this (the training) very seriously, whatever that means.

Maybe, it means living with a know drug user and spending free time trying to coach him in the sport of cycling.

Either way, when it's crunch time this guy usually pulls through, should be interesting.

are you dissing Lance's Man Love ?? come on dude.

beads didn't predict a time, but I'll say he's in for a surprise.

My prediction (and I hope I'm wrong) he pulls up lame after 18 miles and DNFs.

PoC
hey! Easy on the stone throwing!

My opinion...
I am a little disapointed that he has not taken this seriously...
I know that he is tired of all the preasure of trainning and racing at pro level in cycling, but I wish he put some more interest...
He parties, drink margaritas and stuff more than trainning...
I don´t think he will pull an under 3 hours marathon, and also a DNF is going to be a posibility....

Lance DNF? No way. He is too competitive for that. His head will just tell his legs to go and they will. I believe that he often indicated that he was ill, or his breaks were rubbing etc during the TdF. He probably doesn't realize that Jan isn't running and that he doesn't need to play mind games! I think I posted a swag on his time awhile back, but he'll definitely go under 3:00 - I'll say 2:48.

I'm guessing either a 2:49 and change or somewhere in the 3:20's (if I can get away with two votes)

3:25

He won't DNF. He said himself, he's a middle of the pack runner. We'll know in three days....

Yup, at least for the time being. I did not do the ride. I've taken a short break from cycling after my last IM race at the end of Sept. while getting ready to run the Philadelphia marathon.

My goal is to make sure I'm in good (running) shape, so that I'm sure to beat Lance's marathon time! HA!

I was on the NYCM website and it said something about being shown live online.

nycmarathon.org

It seems Lance is having a hard time leaving his cycling day behind. I'm really suprised he decided to use pacers. I really thought, based on his competitive nature, he would want to go after this on his own. Not that there won't be mobs of runners hangin' around his position anyway.

Are we playing "Price is Right" rules?

I guess $1 (or 1 minute in this case).

Curious... I know he is running for cancer $$/good cause/etc... but so are some other runners out there. Does anyone find it a bit odd that he is being allowed a special pacing team? Not a pacer with the race organization that does the whole thing with him, not someone else who will do the whole race keeping him on pace, but people who will only be running part of the race.

It just strikes me as odd that in an age when people are so anti-bandits, and complain about the number of people already out there, and about how rules should be consistent and "fair" that pacers are being allowed for parts of the race for him.

Yeah I know those reasons... I wasn't very clear in my original post on this. I think I was more wondering if anyone was bothered by it, especially in a sport where we love that we get to race on the same footing as the pros. They get different entries and sometimes a slightly different start time, but AG'ers are on the same course and with (almost) the same rules.

I understand you completely. Running and triathlon are supposed to be sports that tests the individual and this doesn't seem to be the case here.

Apparently his celebrity does trump decorum :(

Does Lance Still Shave Those Legs ?

There are pacers at most marathons anyway. He still has to run at that pace, so don't see it as a big deal. He doesn't do anything negative to hurt or hinder the sport, rather raises awareness for his cause and the race itself.

Just a comment....

Don't believe everything you read or listen in the news.

I can almost bet Lance will do a great time.

It's easier to say "i did not train seriusly" and have a great race than to do it the other way around. Lance is Lance!!!!

You'll see on Sunday!

But what I realy whant to see is Lance doing an IM.
And quoting him : "There's still time on the bike, in the gym, in the pool, a whole mix of cross training."

The ESPN interview is the first time I have heard him say that triathlon might be an option. It seems his biggest concern with the marathon is time available for training due to travel and other time committments. Maybe a tri would be possible if his schedule changes. I hope he does it. I also hope to see him near the finish tomorrow.

Lance in at @ 2:59:35, 1:28:57 half; negative split on the 2nd half, sort of.

That's a pretty good day.