Any Kona Predictions you want to share?
eg. It will be hot, windy, people will crash and burn, some guy racing for an obscure disease will miss the bike cut-off in tears, a dog will wander onto the course and trip up a camera man and it will go viral on Youtube, etc.
or maybe even,
1) Chrissy will win in a new Kona record time, then be busted for some PED offence in her cold medicine.
2) Macca will trash talk his way onto the podium and / or flat out and DNF.
3) Chris L will kill the bike course and be run down by a German on Alii Drive in a photo finish.
4) huge ocean swells will cause massive numbers to withdraw from seasickness and an unheralded varsity swimmer will lead all the way to the Kona airport before being swallowed up by a bike juggernaut leaving him in a shower of thorn needles.
5) Sister Madonna Buder will set a new AG World Record
6) a 20-year old rookie will make it into the top ten and scare the spandex off the Pros
7) some TV Reality Show celebrity will drag his butt to finish in sub-15 hours and declare it to be "the toughest thing I've ever done!"
8) Missy Le Strange will win her AG by 30 minutes.
9) Mike Reilly will lose his voice by sunset and Steve King will step up out of the crowd to finish the show reciting everyone's race resumes from memory
10) trifuelers will spend the day in front of their computers listening to Greg Welch's lame humour and loving every minute of it. Michellie Jones will regale us with loads of personal recollections and sometimes bewilderingly obtuse remarks, Paul Huddle will be funny as ever and Canadian (ray!) Heather Fuhr will bring sanity (and some yawns) to the arena, inspiring us all to greater resolve towards our winter training.
PoC
lining up my raceday spectating nutrition as we speak..
Very funny PoC. I'm just
Very funny PoC. I'm just stoked that I'm going to an event at our local Tri store. They're going to have the Kona bike course loaded into their multi-bike computrainer with a large screen TV so we can ride the course AND watch the race. Psyched!
On #2: Macca's not doing
On #2: Macca's not doing Kona this year.
BTW, Macca's been posting daily workouts on Twitter under the hashtag #TwitterCoach.
Carfare and Wellington have
Carfare and Wellington have the woman's version of the IronWar.
Chris Lieto outlasts Crowie to grab the title.
Can't wait to watch! I have
Can't wait to watch! I have a sprint race in the morning and then some more running...then I get to come home and watch the race!
help!!! I just woke up and
help!!! I just woke up and went to ironman.com.. like always I can't figure out how or when to try to "watch"... will there be a link or something I can look for? anyone know what time this starts?
Here you go, starts in about
Here you go, starts in about 6 hours.
http://kona.ironmanlive.com/#axzz1aBrPtOPo
Well, PoC I know that there
Well, PoC I know that there will be finishers! I know I will be watcing, you and many of us on trifuel will be watching them beat themselves up. Looks like a good one!
Lee, nice to hear from you.
Lee, nice to hear from you. I hope your training is going well, no more mishaps on the road, etc.
It is good to know that others in the Trifuel crowd are watching at the same time as me!
I will be bacvk here to post if something worthy of comment occurs. :)
PoC
So how does someone not
So how does someone not finish the swim before the cutoff last year and get back in and just barely finish this year? Exceptionally lucky and get a lotto slot two years in a row? I'm betting a gel that the last gal to make the swim cut off, after missing it last year, misses the bike cut off. Sorry, feeling cynical today.
I had the same question
I had the same question cross my mind as we saw the last male swimmer get the chop.
If she can't make the swim cutoff at Kona, how and where did she qualify?
Only thing I can think of is that she was the only competitor in the women's 65+ in Beijing, say.
Ya got money and desire ya can qualify somewhere.
PoC
This one looks like
This one looks like alexander's to lose.
Thanks for the link! The
Thanks for the link!
The stupid video won't load for me :(
got it!
got it!
Try
Try universalsports.com.
It's been flawless for me today
Crowie on a record pace.
Crowie on a record pace.
Some nice updates from Matt Lieto. Very cool.
Chrissy is back in it and
Chrissy is back in it and smiling on the uphill.
Very gratifying on both
Very gratifying on both finishes.
Crowie and Carfrae are impressive competitors, Chrissie is one for the ages.
12 minutes down out of the water? Amazing.
If she stays healthy, at 33 she could eclipse PNF, no trouble.
PoC
That was 12 hours well
That was 12 hours well spent. I'm ready to start training for 2012 now.
Chrissie: incredible, really fun to watch her race from a much different position than she typically races from.
Mirinda: Talk about a competitor!
Dibbens: Was that bike lead for real? Or did she put too much out there knowing the run wasn't going to be there? Either way, I'm disappointed that we didn't get to see her finish
The men's race a new record. How awesome is that?!?!
It amazes me how the pros have to just go at whatever pace is being thrown down and hope that they've got it that day.
One thing that seems odd to me. The people giving them splits during the race. Has that always happened? I know it's been happening the last few years that I've watched. For some reason, I don't like it. Anyone else out there have a problem with it?
dkhartung wrote:So how does
[quote=dkhartung]So how does someone not finish the swim before the cutoff last year and get back in and just barely finish this year? Exceptionally lucky and get a lotto slot two years in a row? I'm betting a gel that the last gal to make the swim cut off, after missing it last year, misses the bike cut off. Sorry, feeling cynical today.[/quote]
That's what I was wondering.....wonder if she finished?
What a race! It was a shame
What a race!
It was a shame to see Dibens lose it on the run. I don't think she would have been caught if she was able to keep the run pace up. Chrissie Wellington never ceases to amaze though. I thought Mirinda Carfrae might just catch her.
I didn't realize Chrissie's BF was that fast. I remember reading that article that just came out about her in the tri magazine about them dating but I don't recall them mentioning he was elite level--maybe I missed it.
What can be said about Craig Alexander....he's damn fast! I didn't think he was going to be in under the record time. What a year for him and at 38--outstanding.
I predict we will see more
I predict we will see more of Chrissie on the bike during the NBC telecast than we did during the live stream yesterday. Maybe. Perhaps they really didn't have the cameras to cover??
(Did they ever show her on her bike?)
i predict crowie and
i predict crowie and chrissie
was i right?!?
I know someone who was in
I know someone who was in it. She is a spinning instructor at the gym I belong to. Last year, I went to the kitchen to get a drink and missed her crossing the finish line. This year I was glued to my computer between 9 and 10hrs, determined not to miss her finish (after checking her splits every 5min). Just as I heard them call her name, my computer froze and the streaming was lost! It took me forever to find the right cue so I could see it. After watching Dibens and that fast guy, (can't remember his name) run for two hours it was frusterating. Oh well, at least the coverage was pretty good.
paganopj wrote:dkhartung
[quote=paganopj][quote=dkhartung]So how does someone not finish the swim before the cutoff last year and get back in and just barely finish this year? Exceptionally lucky and get a lotto slot two years in a row? I'm betting a gel that the last gal to make the swim cut off, after missing it last year, misses the bike cut off. Sorry, feeling cynical today.[/quote]
That's what I was wondering.....wonder if she finished?[/quote]
If it's the woman who finished the swim at 2:16:21, then she DNF'd on the bike course... just as Sooner has so often predicted.
dkhartung wrote:paganopj
[quote=dkhartung][quote=paganopj][quote=dkhartung]So how does someone not finish the swim before the cutoff last year and get back in and just barely finish this year? Exceptionally lucky and get a lotto slot two years in a row? I'm betting a gel that the last gal to make the swim cut off, after missing it last year, misses the bike cut off. Sorry, feeling cynical today.[/quote]
That's what I was wondering.....wonder if she finished?[/quote]
If it's the woman who finished the swim at 2:16:21, then she DNF'd on the bike course... just as Sooner has so often predicted.[/quote]
That must have been her. I recall seeing her come out cheering and such and a few minutes later the guy that missed the cut off came out of the water.
It makes me wonder what gives. I know I have worked hard to prep for my first IM and believe I can comfortably finish the swim in around 1:35-1:40 (pretty slowly, actually) Not sure how much of a limiter it is for not having a wet suit at Kona but swimming in ocean water seems to alleviate most of the buoyancy you'd get from a wet suit. I am just not sure how this happens in a championship race with pre-qualfiers.
Sensational results all
Sensational results all round.
Heather Wurtele, only Canadian of note in the pros, finished 8th. She used to live in Vernon (where I reside)
Natascha Badmann, great comeback after that bike crash two years ago that would have retired most people, finishes 14th at age 45!
09:31:21 133 Natascha Badmann SWI SUI 1:07:04 2:35 5:00:29 4:31 3:16:44
PoC
Women's 55-59 AG #30 DNF 383
Women's 55-59 AG
#30 DNF 383 Colgin, Sharon USA USA 2:16:21, did not finish the bike.
30 women only in that AG. It's possible she qualified somewhere on a rolldown maybe and as I hinted above, has the time / money to travel to enough races to qualify.
Also note, only 7 countries are represented in the W55-59 AG.
USA, Canada, GB, AUS, Bra, JPN, Germay
This suggests to me that if you want to qualify in that AG, Beijing might be your best bet. No Chinese women competed in that AG.
Thinking about the remoteness of the Beijing race, plus the relatively recent opening up of that nation, the lack of female athletic tradition sustained into retirement age, the low income of people of that generation, it makes perfect sense.
In W60-64 only 19 competitors: 1 from JPN the rest from Canada and USA
19 DNF 284 Bahurinsky, Morgen USA USA SWIM: 2:12:56 but did not finsih the bike.
Now I age up to 60 in January and in my AG at Ko0na there are 13 countries represented, so I am not getting a walk-on at KOna. It's still no gimme at 60-64 on the men's side.
My motto is still the Survivor motto:
Outwit, outplay, outlast - especially the latter one. heh.
PoC
PoC
Even in my AG, if I could've
Even in my AG, if I could've traveled to China, I could've gotten in with a 13:35.